Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Miguel Vargas 1B
- 2 Munetaka Murakami DH
- 3 Austin Hays LF
- 4 Colson Montgomery 3B
- 5 Lenyn Sosa 2B
- 6 Tristan Peters CF
- 7 Everson Pereira RF
- 8 Edgar Quero C
- 9 Luisangel Acuña SS
- 1 Jakob Marsee CF
- 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 3 Agustín Ramírez DH
- 4 Liam Hicks C
- 5 Otto Lopez SS
- 6 Owen Caissie RF
- 7 Connor Norby 1B
- 8 Griffin Conine LF
- 9 Graham Pauley 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.18 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.88 vs actual lineup 4.70
- Player execution +4.30 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.70 projection by 4.30 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Pereira 2-for-4 from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.45 vs actual lineup 2.41
- Player execution +1.59 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.41 projection by 1.59 (scored 4)
- Game variance +1.55 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 2.5 — actual was 9 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.