Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Roman Anthony DH
- 2 Trevor Story SS
- 3 Jarren Duran CF
- 4 Willson Contreras 1B
- 5 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 7 Masataka Yoshida LF
- 8 Marcelo Mayer 2B
- 9 Connor Wong C
- 1 TJ Friedl LF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart DH
- 5 Eugenio Suárez 3B
- 6 Spencer Steer 1B
- 7 Dane Myers CF
- 8 Tyler Stephenson C
- 9 Noelvi Marte RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.53 vs actual lineup 3.48
- Player execution −1.48 R/G Players fell 1.48 short of the lineup's 3.48 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.53 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Anthony 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.15 vs actual lineup 3.12
- Player execution −0.12 R/G Players fell 0.12 short of the lineup's 3.12 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.15 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Cruz 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 3.1 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.