RunsLeft › Pitchers › Connelly Early
Starting Pitcher · Boston Red Sox

Connelly Early

LHP · Throws Left · Age 24Starter
ERA
3.44
FIP
–
IP
91.2
W-L
7-5
WHIP
1.25
K%
23.8
BB%
8.7
GB%
–
K/9
9.1
HR/9
1.5
Drafted by the Boston Red Sox in 2023 (round 5). He made his MLB debut on September 9, 2025.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)
No scheduled start today. The model projection and lineup matchup appear on start days.

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

34% of pitches · .317 xwOBA allowed · 138 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
1%3%4%5%4%3%7%9%9%5%7%10%13%10%5%2%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.000.000.235.000.431.286.264.086.159.504.271.412.328.066.701.702.403––.707.701.097––
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.000.000.012.000.013.019.023.008.008.035.027.054.031.003.012.004.004––.005.007.000––
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) has allowed .317 xwOBA over 138 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

6 pitch types · 1,927-pitch sample · 2026/2025 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Four-Seam Fastball FF
34% usage · 22% whiff · .317 xwOBA · 94.0 mph
Sinker SI
19% usage · 13% whiff · .347 xwOBA · 92.4 mph
Changeup CH
18% usage · 22% whiff · .314 xwOBA · 83.7 mph
Curveball CU
12% usage · 26% whiff · .361 xwOBA · 80.1 mph
Slider SL
9% usage · 27% whiff · .406 xwOBA · 87.2 mph
Sweeper ST
7% usage · 48% whiff · .114 xwOBA · 82.6 mph
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
0102030405060705/205/276/26/86/146/206/256/30
Four-Seam FastballSinkerChangeup
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB32.5 .239 127
vs. RHB23.5 .337 339
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Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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