Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 James Wood DH
- 2 Andrés Chaparro 1B
- 3 Brady House 3B
- 4 Daylen Lile LF
- 5 Joey Wiemer RF
- 6 CJ Abrams SS
- 7 Nasim Nuñez 2B
- 8 Keibert Ruiz C
- 9 Jacob Young CF
- 1 Michael Busch 1B
- 2 Alex Bregman 3B
- 3 Ian Happ LF
- 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 5 Nico Hoerner 2B
- 6 Carson Kelly C
- 7 Moisés Ballesteros DH
- 8 Dansby Swanson SS
- 9 Michael Conforto RF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.78 vs actual lineup 2.72
- Player execution +3.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.72 projection by 3.28 (scored 6)
- Game variance +3.22 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ruiz HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.46 vs actual lineup 4.39
- Player execution −1.39 R/G Players fell 1.39 short of the lineup's 4.39 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.46 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Busch 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 4.5 — actual was 6 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.