Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
- 9 Oswald Peraza 2B
- 1 Jose Altuve 2B
- 2 Yordan Alvarez DH
- 3 Isaac Paredes 3B
- 4 Carlos Correa SS
- 5 Christian Walker 1B
- 6 Cam Smith RF
- 7 Yainer Diaz C
- 8 Jake Meyers CF
- 9 Brice Matthews LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| HOU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.72 vs actual lineup 4.76
- Player execution +4.24 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.76 projection by 4.24 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.28 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Peraza HR from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.04 vs actual lineup 4.02
- Player execution +6.98 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.02 projection by 6.98 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.96 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Meyers 2-for-5 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 4.0 — actual was 9 – 11.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.