RunsLeft › Pitchers › Reid Detmers
Starting Pitcher · Los Angeles Angels

Reid Detmers

LHP · Throws Left · Age 27Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
No graded line yet for tonight's start vs. Rangers. The projection appears when the model has a line to price.
ERA
4.13
FIP
–
IP
104.2
W-L
3-6
WHIP
1.11
K%
27.1
BB%
7.9
GB%
–
K/9
10.1
HR/9
0.8
Drafted by the Los Angeles Angels in 2020 (round 1). He made his MLB debut on August 1, 2021.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Rangers · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Rangers current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .309

  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JJ Josh Jung RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

44% of pitches · .310 xwOBA allowed · 456 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
1%4%6%5%3%4%7%11%8%4%7%10%13%8%4%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
.691.171.301.094.628.504.144.329.213.320.256.276.392.317.360.697.000.275.160–.689.702.665.911–
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
.008.006.017.005.020.018.010.036.017.012.018.027.049.025.013.008.000.004.002–.005.004.004.003–
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) has allowed .310 xwOBA over 456 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

6 pitch types · 4,439-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Four-Seam Fastball FF
44% usage · 21% whiff · .310 xwOBA · 94.1 mph
Slider SL
31% usage · 34% whiff · .250 xwOBA · 86.2 mph
Curveball CU
14% usage · 29% whiff · .291 xwOBA · 72.4 mph
Changeup CH
8% usage · 29% whiff · .317 xwOBA · 83.6 mph
Sinker SI
2% usage · 12% whiff · .370 xwOBA · 93.6 mph
Unknown UN
1% usage
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
0102030405060705/245/306/56/106/166/216/277/3
Four-Seam FastballSliderCurveball
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB25.1 .314 295
vs. RHB28.9 .279 787
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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