PITCHER MATCHUP

Yusei Kikuchi vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yusei Kikuchi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yusei Kikuchi's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Slider 31%Curveball 15%Changeup 10%Splitter 4%Cutter 3%Sinker 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yusei Kikuchi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 682 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →