RunsLeft › Pitchers › Yusei Kikuchi
Starting Pitcher · Los Angeles Angels

Yusei Kikuchi

LHP · Throws Left · Age 35Starter
Model projection · strikeout prop
No graded line yet for tonight's start vs. Rangers. The projection appears when the model has a line to price.
ERA
5.81
FIP
–
IP
31.0
W-L
0-3
WHIP
1.58
K%
23.2
BB%
9.9
GB%
–
K/9
9.6
HR/9
0.9
He was signed by the Los Angeles Angels in free agency in November 2024. He made his MLB debut on March 21, 2019.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. Rangers · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. Rangers current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .307

  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 620 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ED Elias Díaz RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elias Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Four-Seam Fastball

FF · lead pitch

37% of pitches · .332 xwOBA allowed · 575 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
1%2%4%5%3%2%5%7%9%4%4%9%15%10%6%1%2%3%2%1%1%3%2%2%1%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
–.273.079.231.044.224.153.318.355.347.409.361.362.308.292.691.273.522.358.358.691.658.286.346–
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
–.005.003.011.001.004.008.023.030.015.017.033.054.031.016.006.005.015.005.002.009.016.006.005–
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) has allowed .332 xwOBA over 575 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

7 pitch types · 6,666-pitch sample · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1

Four-Seam Fastball FF
37% usage · 19% whiff · .332 xwOBA · 95.4 mph
Slider SL
31% usage · 24% whiff · .360 xwOBA · 85.8 mph
Curveball CU
15% usage · 24% whiff · .265 xwOBA · 78.4 mph
Changeup CH
10% usage · 26% whiff · .247 xwOBA
Splitter FS
4% usage · 27% whiff · .304 xwOBA · 86.8 mph
Cutter FC
3% usage · 23% whiff · .450 xwOBA · 89.8 mph
Sinker SI
1% usage · .184 xwOBA
Whiff% Trend
last 8 outings · by pitch · min 5 swings per point
0102030403/193/274/14/74/134/184/244/29
Four-Seam FastballSliderCurveball
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2026/2025/2024 blend, weighted 4/3/1
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB27.4 .302 335
vs. RHB22.4 .330 1,307
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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