PITCHER MATCHUP

Yusei Kikuchi vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Yusei Kikuchi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Yusei Kikuchi's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 38%Slider 30%Curveball 15%Changeup 9%Splitter 4%Cutter 3%Sinker 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Yusei Kikuchi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →