PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.