PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Knuckle Curve 12%Slider 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →