PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Knuckle Curve 11%Slider 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-15 game page →