PITCHER MATCHUP
Walker Buehler vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Walker Buehler's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Knuckle Curve 11%Slider 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 654 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 EC Evan Carter LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JJ Josh Jung RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 CS Corey Seager LHB .354
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.