PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 20%Sinker 16%Knuckle Curve 13%Slider 12%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.