PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 20%Sinker 16%Knuckle Curve 13%Slider 12%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.