PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →