PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.