PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 20%Sinker 16%Knuckle Curve 13%Slider 12%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 646 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Daniel Susac RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JR Jesus Rodriguez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesus Rodriguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-01 game page →