PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.