PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .337Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 20%Sinker 16%Knuckle Curve 13%Slider 12%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AF Alex Freeland SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AC Alex Call RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Call
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →