PITCHER MATCHUP
Walker Buehler vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Walker Buehler's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 629 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 AP Andy Pages RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .347
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AF Alex Freeland SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 WS Will Smith RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.