PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 24%Cutter 20%Sinker 16%Knuckle Curve 13%Slider 12%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 TT Tommy Troy RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Troy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (24% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (13% usage) projects to .198 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.