PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 20%Sinker 17%Knuckle Curve 12%Slider 12%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →