PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.