PITCHER MATCHUP

Walker Buehler vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Walker Buehler's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Walker Buehler's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 23%Cutter 21%Sinker 18%Slider 11%Knuckle Curve 11%Changeup 8%Sweeper 7%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Walker Buehler, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (7% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.