PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 30%Cutter 13%Slider 8%Sinker 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.