PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 29%Cutter 14%Slider 9%Sinker 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.