PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 26%Cutter 14%Slider 10%Sinker 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →