PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .357Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Splitter 28%Cutter 14%Slider 9%Sinker 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.