PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .361Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 27%Cutter 14%Slider 10%Sinker 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.