PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .366Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 27%Cutter 14%Slider 11%Sinker 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-05 game page →