PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 30%Cutter 13%Slider 8%Sinker 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.