PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 30%Cutter 13%Slider 8%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .213 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .386
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.