PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 29%Cutter 14%Slider 9%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .215 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 629 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .388
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.