PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .361Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 27%Cutter 14%Slider 10%Sinker 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .214 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-12 game page →