PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .365Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Splitter 26%Cutter 14%Slider 11%Sinker 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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