PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .268vs RHH xwOBA .361Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 27%Cutter 14%Slider 10%Sinker 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 603 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tim Tawa RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.