PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 29%Cutter 14%Slider 9%Sinker 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 655 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 608 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (29% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.