PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 30%Cutter 13%Slider 8%Sinker 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TT Tim Tawa RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.