PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .355Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 28%Cutter 14%Slider 9%Sinker 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 567 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (28% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.