PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .342Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 30%Cutter 13%Slider 8%Sinker 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.