PITCHER MATCHUP

Tyler Mahle vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tyler Mahle's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .271vs RHH xwOBA .364Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 26%Cutter 14%Slider 11%Sinker 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jackson Chourio SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-27 game page →