PITCHER MATCHUP
Tyler Mahle vs Athletics
How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tyler Mahle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tyler Mahle's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Splitter 26%Cutter 14%Slider 10%Sinker 1%
How the Athletics's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tyler Mahle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .354
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JH Jonah Heim SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 HB Henry Bolte RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.