PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Williams vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .352vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 26%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Slider 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →