PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Williams vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Williams's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Williams's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .350vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 26%Changeup 13%Sinker 11%Slider 9%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Williams, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .261
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.