PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →