PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .415
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .448 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .472 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.