PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 12%Sweeper 10%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.