PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Changeup 23%Sinker 14%Cutter 12%Sweeper 9%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →