PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.