PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 23%Sinker 14%Cutter 13%Sweeper 9%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT José Tena LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BH Brady House RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.