PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .275vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 23%Sinker 15%Cutter 13%Sweeper 8%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →