PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .254vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.