PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .257vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 12%Sweeper 9%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →