PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.