PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 24%Sinker 16%Cutter 14%Sweeper 8%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AF Alex Freeland SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AC Alex Call RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Call
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →