PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 622 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.