PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.