PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .255vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 11%Sweeper 10%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →