PITCHER MATCHUP

Trevor Rogers vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Trevor Rogers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Trevor Rogers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .257vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Changeup 22%Sinker 14%Cutter 12%Sweeper 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Trevor Rogers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 650 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.