PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.