PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .384vs RHH xwOBA .353Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 11%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-25 game page →