PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.