PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .407vs RHH xwOBA .343Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →