PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .384vs RHH xwOBA .353Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 11%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.