PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .397vs RHH xwOBA .350Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.