PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .404vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 6%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 IC Isaac Collins SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Lane Thomas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SM Starling Marte RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyler Tolbert RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Tolbert
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →