PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.