PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .388vs RHH xwOBA .353Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.