PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .387vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.