PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .400vs RHH xwOBA .350Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 6%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →