PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .411vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 16%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 5%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →