PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .387vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.