PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .217 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.