PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .393vs RHH xwOBA .354Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →