PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .395vs RHH xwOBA .348Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 6%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CK Christian Koss RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Koss
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DC Drew Cavanaugh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Cavanaugh
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VB Victor Bericoto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Bericoto
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 OB Osleivis Basabe RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Osleivis Basabe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.