PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 635 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.