PITCHER MATCHUP
Tomoyuki Sugano vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .384vs RHH xwOBA .353Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 11%Curveball 9%Slider 6%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 649 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Splitter (22% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.