PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .404vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 15%Cutter 12%Curveball 8%Slider 6%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jackson Chourio SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GS Gary Sánchez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gary Sánchez
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →