PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SF Sal Frelick LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.