PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .389vs RHH xwOBA .355Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 17%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.