PITCHER MATCHUP

Tomoyuki Sugano vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Tomoyuki Sugano's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .397vs RHH xwOBA .350Seasons 2026–2025
Splitter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 18%Sweeper 14%Cutter 12%Curveball 9%Slider 6%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Tomoyuki Sugano, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 636 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Splitter (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →