PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 2%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.