PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.