PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Splitter 32%Sweeper 14%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KC Kody Clemens SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RL Royce Lewis RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TG Tristan Gray LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Gray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →