PITCHER MATCHUP
Shota Imanaga vs Colorado Rockies
How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shota Imanaga's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 14%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%
How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .277
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willi Castro SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.